2009-Haran, Murali - An introduction to models for disease dynamics. Presentation

By Brian Winkel


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Haran, Murali. 2009.  An introduction to models for disease dynamics. Presentation. 68 slides.

Opening slides:

Useful to model and understand disease dynamics because:

  • Important for basic science as well as public policy.
  • Models for infectious diseases are helpful for prevention and control of emerging infectious diseases like SARS, HIV/AIDS, H5N1 (“bird flu”), H1N1 (“swine flu”).
  • Useful for studying the development and spread of drug resistant strains e.g. malaria, tuberculosis, MRSA.

Modeling infectious diseases: outline
We consider here models for directly transmitted, microparasitic infectious diseases.


  1. Discussion of some simple deterministic models.
  2. Discussion of simple stochastic models.
  3. Some simple spatial (dynamic) models.


  • The discussion of statistical inference will be relatively short as there is relatively little statistical inference in this field; more time will be spent simply discussing the deterministic or stochastic models for ‘forward simulation’.
  • The focus is on providing a feel for relevant models, terminology and methodology. Details are in references.

Cite this work

Researchers should cite this work as follows:

  • Brian Winkel (2020), "2009-Haran, Murali - An introduction to models for disease dynamics. Presentation," https://simiode.org/resources/7147.

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