2009-Haran, Murali - An introduction to models for disease dynamics. Presentation

By Brian Winkel

SIMIODE, Cornwall NY USA

Download (PDF)

Licensed according to this deed.

Published on

Abstract

Haran, Murali. 2009.  An introduction to models for disease dynamics. Presentation. 68 slides.
 

Opening slides:

Useful to model and understand disease dynamics because:

  • Important for basic science as well as public policy.
  • Models for infectious diseases are helpful for prevention and control of emerging infectious diseases like SARS, HIV/AIDS, H5N1 (“bird flu”), H1N1 (“swine flu”).
  • Useful for studying the development and spread of drug resistant strains e.g. malaria, tuberculosis, MRSA.

Modeling infectious diseases: outline
We consider here models for directly transmitted, microparasitic infectious diseases.

Outline:

  1. Discussion of some simple deterministic models.
  2. Discussion of simple stochastic models.
  3. Some simple spatial (dynamic) models.

Caveats:

  • The discussion of statistical inference will be relatively short as there is relatively little statistical inference in this field; more time will be spent simply discussing the deterministic or stochastic models for ‘forward simulation’.
  • The focus is on providing a feel for relevant models, terminology and methodology. Details are in references.

Cite this work

Researchers should cite this work as follows:

  • Brian Winkel (2020), "2009-Haran, Murali - An introduction to models for disease dynamics. Presentation," https://simiode.org/resources/7147.

    BibTex | EndNote

Tags